06-016: Public policy development tool

A software tool that models the outcome of interventions directed to alcohol users in a local community.

The model uses time-varying conditional probabilities and actual community data. For example, the model may be used to predict if an increase in police presence in public bars will increase domestic violence. It is envisioned that this tool can be used to study the social ramifications of policy decisions to enforce differing interventions on other issues within a community such as drug enforcement, gun enforcement or immigration enforcement.